Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 30, 2022

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Fri Nov 11 17:46:04 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @LPDonovan @DCCyclone @yeselson @JohnCassidy Our model had an R+4 popular vote, although it's more like R+2 or 3 when you adjust for uncontested races. And it had the Senate being highly competitive nonetheless and GOP House gains being pretty modest (though, they'll be even more modest in reality). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@LPDonovan @yeselson @JohnCassidy You also had, e.g. the NYT taking its own polls that were obviously good for Democrats and spinning them as good for Republicans. The narrative about the polls is different from the reality and at 538 we stuck to the reality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MattGrossmann @BenjySarlin @LPDonovan @DCCyclone @yeselson @JohnCassidy Maybe a better question for @baseballot, he was our House specialist this year. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022