Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 29, 2022

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Fri Nov 11 17:25:29 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@LPDonovan @yeselson @JohnCassidy You also had, e.g. the NYT taking its own polls that were obviously good for Democrats and spinning them as good for Republicans. The narrative about the polls is different from the reality and at 538 we stuck to the reality. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JohnCassidy No, because I don't really find it that illuminating. We have a process that's worked quite well over 14 years now. The process is to include partisan polls, but to assume they are biased based on how biased partisan polls have been on average in the past. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin @LPDonovan @DCCyclone @yeselson @JohnCassidy Our model had an R+4 popular vote, although it's more like R+2 or 3 when you adjust for uncontested races. And it had the Senate being highly competitive nonetheless and GOP House gains being pretty modest (though, they'll be even more modest in reality). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 11, 2022