Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 18, 2022

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Wed Nov 09 14:54:10 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@lxeagle17 @SplitTicket_ Honestly I'd have no problem if RCP had a *forecast* that used whatever methodology they wanted, including "take the polling average and shift it R by 3 points". But the fact is that their *polling average* is not a reasonable attempt to describe what the polls, in fact, say. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't feel like getting into a big argument this morning re: RCP, but I'm also pretty annoyed with people lumping 538 together with RCP. Polling websites and forecasts that followed a rigorous, non-arbitrary process (i.e. not RCP) did pretty darn well last night. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is cool. GOP currently leads 220-215 based on called races + races where they're currently ahead. But, quite a few are uncertain; some key ones below. — PolitiTweet.org

Folks, I'm sorry, I made 2 errors @QTMcCord just flagged. Plus, @AP just called WI3 for GOP. Plus, I'll count uncal… https://t.co/ml8hPT91R4

Posted Nov. 9, 2022