Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 9, 2022

Created

Tue Nov 08 05:36:09 +0000 2022

Likes

597

Retweets

142

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Republicans have a 59% chance of winning the Senate, according to our final Deluxe forecast. It's closer in our alternative models: R chances are 51% in the Lite (polls-only) forecast, and also 51% in Classic (polls + fundamentals but no expert ratings). https://t.co/ImBoBkYi5b — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Final FiveThirtyEight midterms model run kicking off right now! Not much in the way of last-minute data so shouldn't be too much difference from what you see on the site right now tbh. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the House, Republicans are considerably more definitive favorites: 84% in Deluxe, 82% in Classic and 75% in Lite. Still, you shouldn't round their chances up to 100%. It wouldn't require **that** large of a polling/forecaster error for the House to be competitive. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022