Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 8, 2022

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Sun Nov 06 17:00:57 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@billscher @lxeagle17 Polls do get entirely phased out in our average at some point. How quickly to phase them out is an empirical question and is different depending on the type of poll. Generic ballot polling movement tends to be noisy with large house effects so it's best to phase out slowly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Generally likely voter polls haven't been great for Democrats, but not much of a likely vs. registered voter gap in the final ABC/WaPo and NBC polls. Quite possibly the difference between them keeping or losing the Senate. https://t.co/cS3SAvi2sQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@RossBarkan She's about as likely to outperform her polling as to underperform it. Those big polling errors in recent years haven't tended to be in blue states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022