Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 8, 2022

Created

Sun Nov 06 14:41:36 +0000 2022

Likes

495

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Generally likely voter polls haven't been great for Democrats, but not much of a likely vs. registered voter gap in the final ABC/WaPo and NBC polls. Quite possibly the difference between them keeping or losing the Senate. https://t.co/cS3SAvi2sQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@willwilkinson Modeling and forecasting is hard (and interesting) precisely because it has to wrestle with this challenge. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@billscher @lxeagle17 Polls do get entirely phased out in our average at some point. How quickly to phase them out is an empirical question and is different depending on the type of poll. Generic ballot polling movement tends to be noisy with large house effects so it's best to phase out slowly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2022