Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 7, 2022

Created

Sat Nov 05 19:53:23 +0000 2022

Likes

546

Retweets

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Life is a lot easier even you can just stick to vague pronoucements and innuendo instead of devoting 1000s of hours to developing a rigorous process that people can test against actual results. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, that's one of the whole purposes of 538. Our pollster ratings track accuracy and improve pollster incentives to put out accurate numbers rather than just influencing the discourse. If Trafalgar et al have a bad night, that will lower their rating going forward. — PolitiTweet.org

Strong incentives? How about obvious incentives going back to Lou Harris for partisan pollsters to show their team… https://t.co/MIz9kzk0Gf

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

New rule: you're not allowed to criticize any pollster or polling aggregator unless you pre-register your own forecast. Use this thread to predict the following: 1—% chance of R Senate win 2—% of R House win 3—# of R Senate seats 4—# of R House "" 5—GA-Sen result 6—AZ-Gov result — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022