Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 6, 2022

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Sat Nov 05 18:45:22 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I get that we all engage in motivated reasoning, trust me I do it too, but the propensity for motivated reasoning when looking at polling and other data is **very** high the week or so before an election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(As an aside, whenever someone uses weasel words like "basically admits" they're almost always mischaracterizing someone's actual argument.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of the reason for building a model and polling averages with **hard and fast, deliberately inflexible rules** is because I don't want to have to make decisions in the heat of the moment when the chance of motivated reasoning is high. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022