Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 6, 2022

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Sat Nov 05 18:08:59 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Chris_arnade Yeah and in some ways, the more of a political insider you are, the less you tend to think like a rank-and-file voter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson @LPDonovan @ThePlumLineGS Empirically the most accurate strategy is giving polls a bonus (a higher weight in our average) if they join a transparency initiative but not throwing them out if they don't, so that's what we do. Partisan polls also get a lower weight and a bigger house effect adjustment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@yeselson @LPDonovan @ThePlumLineGS Yeah, Trafalgar's not always been super transparent about which polls they're doing on their own, and which are for R clients, so they're something of a special case. https://t.co/i9M7cKLc6x — PolitiTweet.org

Quick thread. Warning: not super exciting. 1. In the course of our reporting on Trafalgar Group—part of the due di… https://t.co/Ub0D4HMv3C

Posted Nov. 5, 2022