Profile Image

Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No
Hibernated No
Last Checked Dec. 4, 2022

Created

Sat Nov 05 16:39:31 +0000 2022

Likes

571

Retweets

57

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available
Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Most of the firms you describe as "GOP aligned" do not have any formal affiliation with the GOP (Trafalgar is more ambiguous: we do treat them as partisan). They just have results that are more R than consensus. And BTW they've been among the more accurate pollsters lately. — PolitiTweet.org

Greg Sargent @ThePlumLineGS

@NateSilver538 Seems like you're conflating polls by GOP aligned firms that *regularly* release data with internal… https://t.co/FUJi8IOij2

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

Preceded By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen Yeah, I'm kind of torn between two hypothesis: i) in a world where polling is somewhat broken, long the fundamentals (good for GOP); ii) in a world where polling is somewhat broken, short the vibes (good for Dems). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

Followed By

Profile Image

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The barriers to entry right now in polling are fairly low. If someone thinks the averages are wrong because other firms are "flooding the zone", they can do their own polling and will get to look smart and get lots of business in 2024/26 if they're right. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022