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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 12, 2022

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Fri Oct 21 00:11:04 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende We need to grandfather in @RalstonReports by statute like Major League Baseball once did for spitball pitchers. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 21, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias What your scenario tells us is that conditional on there not being a systematic error *favoring* Democrats, Ds are underdogs to keep the Senate. Which, I agree. Some of their 59% chance comes from the probability of a systematic pro-R polling bias or a late momentum shift to Ds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If the GOP wins control of Congress on 11/8, you'd have to be an idiot not to raise the debt ceiling and take the issue off the table for 2023/24. It's the right move politically and economically. Unfortunately, though, we're talking about Congress, so there are lots of idiots. — PolitiTweet.org

ryan cooper @ryanlcooper

"Two Democratic aides that have spoken to Semafor say it is unlikely the party will act [to raise the debt ceiling]… https://t.co/NLqmZKlJGX

Posted Oct. 21, 2022

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