Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2022

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Sun Oct 16 00:03:35 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A modestly accurate indicator that's uncorrelated with other indicators generally provides more information than a highly accurate indicator that's highly correlated with other indicators, although the Selzer poll has historically been both uncorrelated *and* highly accurate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason this is interesting is not because Grassley is going to lose (probably not) and not even because the Selzer poll has been accurate (though it has been) but because she's a pollster who will publish what her numbers tell her and not herd toward the conventional wisdom. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW IOWA POLL Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley: 46% Democrat Mike Franken: 43% Someone else: 4% Not sure: 3% Margin… https://t.co/SHnIYQUlkb

Posted Oct. 15, 2022

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I remember when I'd get yelled at for suggesting some public health elites were motivated by broader political/ideological concerns rather than optimal pandemic policy per se, so it's funny seeing an article that's like "we blew the opportunity to overthrow capitalism!". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 17, 2022