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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2022

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Sat Oct 15 23:57:15 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The reason this is interesting is not because Grassley is going to lose (probably not) and not even because the Selzer poll has been accurate (though it has been) but because she's a pollster who will publish what her numbers tell her and not herd toward the conventional wisdom. — PolitiTweet.org

Brianne Pfannenstiel @brianneDMR

NEW IOWA POLL Republican Sen. Chuck Grassley: 46% Democrat Mike Franken: 43% Someone else: 4% Not sure: 3% Margin… https://t.co/SHnIYQUlkb

Posted Oct. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias IDK Selzer isn't one of those pollsters that's been prone to large errors though! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 15, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A modestly accurate indicator that's uncorrelated with other indicators generally provides more information than a highly accurate indicator that's highly correlated with other indicators, although the Selzer poll has historically been both uncorrelated *and* highly accurate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2022