Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 5, 2022

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Tue Sep 20 19:25:17 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@VitalikButerin I think people are overestimating their degree of contrarianism since areas of disagreement tend to be highlighted relative to areas of agreement. If you know 150 people and there's a 50/50 chance you agree on each issue, the most-aligned one will be at ~80% thru chance alone. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our first live show in 3 years! Come join us in DC on the evening of Oct. 25. — PolitiTweet.org

👋DC! Our Politics Podcast is doing a *live show* at @SixthandI on Oct. 25. Get your tickets and come hang! https://t.co/NaxcqyKsxm

Posted Sept. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@VitalikButerin One thing that gets weird is I might know the views of online "strangers" (who are prolific writers, etc/) more so than some IRL friends. So I don't know who counts. I'm also not sure if we're allowed to extrapolate if we don't know someone's views but can make good guesses. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 20, 2022