Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 21, 2022

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Wed Aug 10 13:30:08 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's something I think about. Let's say Democrats somehow do hold the House this year. It's not likely, but it's also not impossible (~20% chance per 538 model). In 20 years, will people have a hard time explaining why it happened? I think no, they won't. — PolitiTweet.org

GOP are still clear favorites to retake the House but I think we've gotten to the point where CW is overstating the… https://t.co/paL01QVmEl

Posted Aug. 10, 2022

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The amount of disinformation coming from the @dccc, @dscc and @SpeakerPelosi when incorrectly citing 538 forecasts is super annoying. I guess it's not really actionable but I'm going to keep calling it out when it happens. — PolitiTweet.org

Per the @dccc... I'm also in disbelief, because in reality our forecast shows Republican Senate candidates have a… https://t.co/2HhUINCxeB

Posted Aug. 9, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The last time POTUS's party gained seats in the House were 1998 and 2002. These are generally attributed to Lewinsky and 9/11, respectively. If Ds hold the House in 2022, people will attribute it to Roe being overturned and overall GOP radicalization including Jan. 6. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2022