Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 9, 2022

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Tue Aug 02 15:52:23 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, this seems right. The chance of triggering a *major* escalation (perhaps as a result of an accident or misunderstanding) might be low but it's certainly not zero and the consequences would be very, very bad. https://t.co/lzldYE6W9S https://t.co/Quod3IgNg6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro Yeah a 0% < x < 5% of provoking a *major* international incident seems pretty bad unless there's a clear rationale for the trip. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende Lol approximately 6 people are going to get this reference and I am one of them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 2, 2022