Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 1, 2022

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Wed Jul 27 04:28:38 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways more interesting is the "Classic" version of our model, which doesn't use expert ratings like the default version ("Deluxe") does. That's shown pretty linear improvement for Democrats. https://t.co/ImBoBkGHdD https://t.co/BhfBRiKliY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean...it's not much of an "edge" and the race is still a toss-up, but Democrats' polling has pretty consistently improved post-Dobbs. Even though our model is pretty conservative about accounting for polling movement (it assumes polling shifts in July will revert to the mean). — PolitiTweet.org

For the first time the @FiveThirtyEight model shows Democrats with an edge in the race for the Senate https://t.co/bFQ2fI4Ouo

Posted July 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also worth mentioning that Dobbs isn't the only thing going on. Gas prices are down. Trump is back in the news because of the Jan. 6 hearings and for other reasons. COVID deaths are remain toward the lower end since the pandemic began. Wacky GOP candidates are winning primaries. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2022 Deleted after a minute Just a Typo