Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 1, 2022

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Wed Jul 27 02:10:57 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NateDuncanNBA I think the decision itself. The leak was widely commented upon by political/news junkies, but political/news junkies are almost all strong partisans who aren't swing voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@NateDuncanNBA Yeah, although there's pretty good evidence from the polls that it's hurting Republicans in House and Senate races. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I mean...it's not much of an "edge" and the race is still a toss-up, but Democrats' polling has pretty consistently improved post-Dobbs. Even though our model is pretty conservative about accounting for polling movement (it assumes polling shifts in July will revert to the mean). — PolitiTweet.org

For the first time the @FiveThirtyEight model shows Democrats with an edge in the race for the Senate https://t.co/bFQ2fI4Ouo

Posted July 27, 2022