Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2022

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Tue Jul 26 22:42:34 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It may be increasingly obvious that the Dobbs leak helped conservatives but people's reasons for leaking to reporters aren't always strategic or don't have the consequences they anticipate. — PolitiTweet.org

It’s increasingly obvious that a conservative leaked Dobbs and achieved their goal of locking in Kavanaugh’s vote.… https://t.co/ifjVdBkgrI

Posted July 26, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's interesting to see the numbers change this quickly but a lot of Biden's appeal in 2020 was based on electability and once the air starts to let out of the balloon—if Democrats start to think someone else has a better shot to beat Trump/DeSantis—it can deflate fast. — PolitiTweet.org

CNN poll, registered Ds and D-leaners: “Who do you think the Democratic Party should nominate as the party's candid… https://t.co/F9NQtAfWh8

Posted July 26, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@davidshor @rudnicknoah @JamesSurowiecki @chrislhayes @mattyglesias @ikuziemko I think maybe the various metrics for urbanization don't work that great for places that consist of a lot of small towns, an arrangement that's pretty common in Europe but you don't really get much in the US outside of New England. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 27, 2022