Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked May 20, 2022

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Mon Apr 11 17:25:10 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I didn't extensively follow media coverage of the race, but one wonders how coverage might have been different (and perhaps voter behavior too?) if Mélenchon had been 2nd some polls, which he probably should have been given how tight it actually was between him and Le Pen. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How'd the French polls do? Not terribly: they got the order of Macron and Le Pen correct in 1st and 2nd. But some pretty bad misses on other candidates. Pretty much everyone had Mélenchon between 16-18% and he finished with 22% instead, nearly reaching the runoff. https://t.co/AvH103B4ro — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 11, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Student loan debt peaks at around age 35 so I'm not really sure this follows. And very few voters of any age rank student debt as a top priority. https://t.co/J4ryqXspfG https://t.co/zGDPeOtRIY — PolitiTweet.org

Joe Biden's approval ratings with 18-30 year olds has dropped 25 percentage points since January 2021, per Gallup.… https://t.co/07mliLwCBv

Posted April 12, 2022