Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 19, 2022

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Wed Feb 23 23:36:27 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I mean, a lot of the blue states that got hit very hard in spring 2020 have tons of excess deaths but relatively few cases since there were ~no tests back then. If you actually looked at *infections* (i.e. seropositivity), they'd be high on that list, too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki Pre-vaccines, there was little correlation between NPI stringency and excess deaths. Post-vaccines, there has been a strong correlation between vax uptake and excess deaths. So I don't think you can lump NPIs and vaccines together here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I think you can perhaps fairly argue that those Northeastern states deserve a mulligan because they got hit first and didn't know any better. But still, this is the list of deaths per capita as of Jan. 1, 2021 (i.e. before widespread vaccine availability). https://t.co/kY81py65mZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022