Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 19, 2022

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Wed Feb 23 23:28:26 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki Pre-vaccines, there was little correlation between NPI stringency and excess deaths. Post-vaccines, there has been a strong correlation between vax uptake and excess deaths. So I don't think you can lump NPIs and vaccines together here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki @allahpundit I don't know but some data suggests younger people are actually *more* COVID-cautious because they're more likely to be liberal Democrats. *Overwhelmingly* the best predictor of COVID caution is political partisanship and everything else is probably mostly noise. https://t.co/Ofx7qeh7v7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki I mean, a lot of the blue states that got hit very hard in spring 2020 have tons of excess deaths but relatively few cases since there were ~no tests back then. If you actually looked at *infections* (i.e. seropositivity), they'd be high on that list, too. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 23, 2022