Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 6, 2022

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Thu Jan 20 04:09:02 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sinema and Manchin are an odd couple insofar as their electoral environments are a lot different. Sinema has probably hurt her chances of being reelected because a primary challenge at this point will have a high likelihood of success. With Manchin incentives harder to parse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I think I mostly disagree. I'm a big fan of best-you-can-do analyses when it really is the best you can do. The problem is that 90% of academic papers run some regression but dress it up as though they've solved Fermat's Last Theorem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sometimes public opinion is complicated, but "Biden promised a return to normal and we didn't get one" is a pretty straightforward story for his declining numbers. https://t.co/fQFHiiI0yr https://t.co/nqiTRU2Tb7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 20, 2022