Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 5, 2022

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Thu Jan 20 02:40:20 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I think I mostly disagree. I'm a big fan of best-you-can-do analyses when it really is the best you can do. The problem is that 90% of academic papers run some regression but dress it up as though they've solved Fermat's Last Theorem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 20, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie Yeah I almost tweeted something that was like "it was obvious that they'd follow the same path" but if I'd asked myself 2 weeks ago, I don't think have thought it was obvious. Always seemed very possible but not obvious. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sinema and Manchin are an odd couple insofar as their electoral environments are a lot different. Sinema has probably hurt her chances of being reelected because a primary challenge at this point will have a high likelihood of success. With Manchin incentives harder to parse. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 20, 2022