Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 24, 2022

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Mon Jan 17 16:09:53 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @whignewtons They did find a shift with 'hard' identifiers, too, although yeah a lot of the change is because of leaners. And I do think the party ID questions is more valuable *without* leaners; otherwise it starts to become redundant with e.g. the generic ballot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's sort of like saying "Sure, the National Weather Service can tell you the probably that it will rain tomorrow or what the high temperature might be. But hurricanes and tornadoes? Forget it." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende Yeah, I'm the same way. Maybe a computer algorithm would do better with vowels. But, for a human like me it's a lot easier to start with the consonants and "fill in" the vowels rather than the other way around. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2022