Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 23, 2022

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Mon Jan 17 16:04:30 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's sort of like saying "Sure, the National Weather Service can tell you the probably that it will rain tomorrow or what the high temperature might be. But hurricanes and tornadoes? Forget it." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm sympathetic to the CDC, but making "rapid decisions based on scant evidence" isn't some esoteric function... it's how life works in any crisis! And even if you're only in a crisis 5% of the time, what you do in that 5% is probably more important than the other 95%. — PolitiTweet.org

NEW: The coronavirus has forced the CDC to make rapid decisions based on scant evidence. For a bureaucratic agency… https://t.co/RvjuxynH2L

Posted Jan. 17, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @whignewtons They did find a shift with 'hard' identifiers, too, although yeah a lot of the change is because of leaners. And I do think the party ID questions is more valuable *without* leaners; otherwise it starts to become redundant with e.g. the generic ballot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 17, 2022