Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 31, 2022

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Tue Jan 04 21:13:11 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@electricalWSOP I don't think that quite follows. My argument is that even you assume people bear all risk for themselves, lockdowns would fail a cost-benefit test according to most people's risk tolerance. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 4, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Seems increasingly likely (though by no means certain) that the center will hold in NYC. However, a close call in NYC could still portend problems elsewhere as we have more immunity and hospital capacity than most places. — PolitiTweet.org

Yesterday was Manhattan's peak in reported case numbers. Week-over-week cases are lower. And for the first time sin… https://t.co/mm226VjVaw

Posted Jan. 4, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'd also note, while you might get the impression either that NYC is plowing ahead undaunted or that it's totally shut down, neither is quite true. Everything's open but people are pumping the brakes a bit, e.g. restaurant reservation data shows a 15-20% decrease vs. pre-Omicron. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 4, 2022