Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Jan. 17, 2022

Created

Wed Dec 29 19:01:16 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter for Android

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan It's the latter factor that's the big unknown IMO. If the period of very rapid case growth only lasts for ~3 weeks instead of for ~2 months, then places like NYC that weren't under a lot of Delta pressure should be OK. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan Hospitalizations are a pretty small fraction of what they were in spring 2020 in NYC (our winter wave last year was pretty modest) and there is some evidence that case growth is leveling off, though hard to know how much of that reflects limited testing capacity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan It's hard to know. In my mental model I tend to weight the (largely very encouraging) South Africa data very heavily, just because I think having somewhere that's ~3 weeks ahead of everywhere else tends to outweigh things that might make SA different. But that might be wrong. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021