Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 17, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 18:58:07 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan Hospitalizations are a pretty small fraction of what they were in spring 2020 in NYC (our winter wave last year was pretty modest) and there is some evidence that case growth is leveling off, though hard to know how much of that reflects limited testing capacity. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan Hospitalization growth is considerably slower than lagged case growth in NYC, and ICU rates growing slower still. I think this data is pretty consistent with what we'd expect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@MileHighBrendan It's the latter factor that's the big unknown IMO. If the period of very rapid case growth only lasts for ~3 weeks instead of for ~2 months, then places like NYC that weren't under a lot of Delta pressure should be OK. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021