Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 5, 2022

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Sun Dec 19 00:22:14 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And of course, because governments tend to enact the recommendations of their advisory groups, the assumptions behind the worst-case "scenarios" (which assume *inaction*) never come to pass and can never be verified. In the Popperian sense, it's not really science at all. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you ask the report authors, they say they're not making predictions: rather, they're modeling "scenarios" conditional on certain assumptions. But, of course, the media treats them as predictions and governments use them to rally support for their preferred policies. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In making claims about the popularity or lack thereof of "Build Back Better", keep in mind that most Americans have no idea what it is. Google search traffic on BBB (or the more amorphous "spending bill") is MUCH lower than for ACA/Obamacare when that was being debated. https://t.co/3sK8gUT0GR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 19, 2021