Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Jan. 4, 2022

Created

Tue Dec 14 17:46:10 +0000 2021

Likes

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara @thehowie I get occasional hints of hostility toward COVID restrictions from my (mostly college-educated and fairly liberal) friends, especially from parents. But more common is sort of an eye-rolling "people can do what they want but for me/my family it's time to move past this". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 14, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Why is that? Maybe partly because polls misestimated COVID attitudes and behaviors (see below) and maybe partly because of preference intensity, i.e. the anti-restriction people were more likely to change their vote because of it. https://t.co/t50Py7u87I — PolitiTweet.org

Why? 1) People who are staying home b/c of COVID easier to reach 2) COVID concern tends to be higher among high-ed… https://t.co/cPz898Seos

Posted Dec. 14, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The thermostatic politics explanations are pretty lazy IMO. There's a fair bit of variance in how large thermostatic swings are, the swing in VA was notably larger than in the CA recall election a few months earlier, and policy toward schools was a big deal in the VA campaign. — PolitiTweet.org

People said, what use is it to attribute things to thermostatic politics, when we can't change that? Fair enough, b… https://t.co/j6sran2XPM

Posted Dec. 14, 2021