Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 4, 2022

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Fri Dec 10 21:10:04 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I just wonder what an SEIR model looks like if you assume there is extreme heterogeneity in susceptibility to Omicron, which you'd think there must be with a variant with partial but incomplete immune escape. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Although, in the "possibly a blip" department, South Africa is issuing some caveats on the data here. https://t.co/yDX9J8y4Y4 — PolitiTweet.org

Tempering my enthusiasm as they are issuing caveats/notes to this release. We can keep our fingers crossed and hope… https://t.co/1ltQZf7PO8

Posted Dec. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Been a weird leap in the discourse from "Omicron isn't necessarily intrinsically milder, the lack of severe outcomes could just reflect immunity from vaccines/past exposures" (OK, fair) to assuming it *isn't* intrinsically milder, which *also* seems way ahead of the evidence. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 11, 2021