Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 4, 2022

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Fri Dec 10 21:03:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Although, in the "possibly a blip" department, South Africa is issuing some caveats on the data here. https://t.co/yDX9J8y4Y4 — PolitiTweet.org

Tempering my enthusiasm as they are issuing caveats/notes to this release. We can keep our fingers crossed and hope… https://t.co/1ltQZf7PO8

Posted Dec. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Don't know if this is sustainable or a blip (case growth is already showing signs of leveling off in South Africa) but I'm reminded of @phl43's work which suggests variants initially have a very large transmission advantage which then levels off. https://t.co/ImKXo0ccfT — PolitiTweet.org

Best news out of South Africa in a while. Week over week growth down to 18% and positive rate SUBSTANTIALLY down. https://t.co/SpaLDUNYvQ

Posted Dec. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@phl43 I just wonder what an SEIR model looks like if you assume there is extreme heterogeneity in susceptibility to Omicron, which you'd think there must be with a variant with partial but incomplete immune escape. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 10, 2021