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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 3, 2022

Created

Wed Dec 08 18:06:16 +0000 2021

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87

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6

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...Or you can look at something like the Virginia gubernatorial election, where COVID-related school closures played out in a more negative way for Democrats than you might have expected from surveys. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So this is a case where hard, revealed-preference data, e.g. on travel or restaurant bookings, probably ought to take precedence over people's purported level of caution in surveys. Most people are back to their old routines. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 8, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The problem is records on 1st, 2nd and 3rd doses may not be correctly linked, especially if you get them at different facilities. So CDC may overestimate the % who has gotten at least one dose, because some people are counted twice. But, they may underestimate % fully vaccinated. — PolitiTweet.org

Evan Zamir @thecity2

@NateSilver538 Why don't we just know how many took the vaccine? Isn't this stuff being recorded??

Posted Dec. 8, 2021

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