Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 19, 2021

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Wed Nov 03 17:34:08 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a corollary, Democrats probably should consider strategic adjustments in response to last night—exactly how they should change it and on what issues is a harder question, of course—rather than just attributing it to a poor national environment. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, it's true electoral trends are thermostatic (i.e. they tend to break against the governing party) in somewhat predictable ways. But part of that is because parties adjust their strategies after defeats, in e.g. the way the GOP did in Virginia that it didn't in California. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This dynamic is important IMO. As it becomes increasingly tiresome to participate in the political discourse (e.g. on Twitter) a lot of people will drop out of the conversation and that makes elite discourse even more detached from how a broader cross-section of voters think. — PolitiTweet.org

One result of this is that as general popular unrest recedes and lots of people get bored or jaded or exhausted and… https://t.co/7uJDRiPcTN

Posted Nov. 4, 2021