Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 19, 2021

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Wed Nov 03 17:10:17 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't think this follows. In most recent elections, Democrats lost ground in rural areas but gained in the suburbs. Last night, they lost ground in the suburbs too. That's different and it's worth asking why (and, yes, the answers are probably complicated and multi-causal). https://t.co/DJsL4rAIcV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Entirely plausible scenario is that GOP has a bunch of good outcomes in 2021/2022 without Trump but then nominates Trump anyway and has a bad 2024. — PolitiTweet.org

And just like that the Republican party announces they have learned all the wrong lessons tonight. https://t.co/ZyFDfpBJKn

Posted Nov. 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This differs, by the way, from the California recall, where red areas got redder and blue areas got bluer or at least didn't shift much from 2018/2020. Of note, Elder was a Trumpist candidate while Youngkin and Ciattarelli were not exactly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 3, 2021