Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

Deleted No

Hibernated No

Last Checked Dec. 14, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 28 13:51:18 +0000 2021

Likes

323

Retweets

Source

Twitter Web App

View Raw Data

JSON Data

View on Twitter

Likely Available

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the Northeast, the numbers are relatively flat, but that's partly because of a (probably school-related) increase in testing. In New Jersey, for instance, cases are down 8% over the past two weeks, but tests are up 38%. Meanwhile, NYC's positive test rate continues to decline. https://t.co/ml3LbWP1uG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2021

Preceded By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It doesn't preclude a winter surge later. But schools have been open long enough that it's looking somewhat unlikely we'll have a national COVID surge caused by school re-openings. Cases are still falling in most of the country. https://t.co/i8ElZQJZ5p https://t.co/wunbuvY1FN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2021

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sure you're saying something. You might not be saying as much as if we had a time machine and could actually run counterfactual experiments. But people were worried about a surge caused by school reopenings, large enough to drown out other trends, and that hasn't happened. — PolitiTweet.org

Yeah, but when evaluating policies what really matters is where the numbers are *relative to the counterfactual*.… https://t.co/TnJ6RT61EY

Posted Sept. 28, 2021