Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 10, 2021

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Thu Sep 02 13:10:03 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Moreover, Israel has massively ramped its testing during the Delta surge, whereas in the US it has only increased modestly. So that's going to make the surge look superficially a lot worse than if it were doing US levels of testing. https://t.co/9QLyrtoaHO https://t.co/z1GSDixLT4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I've been yelling at people for a year and a half that case numbers are only so useful unless you're also looking test numbers, and unfortunately it hasn't really sunk in. Israel is doing massive amounts of testing, about 5x more per capita than we're doing in the US. — PolitiTweet.org

The triple-vaccinated part of the Israeli population accounts for a minuscule fraction of these cases. Around half… https://t.co/mFJU96H5dN

Posted Sept. 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

TBH, I think there's a pretty good argument for *not looking at raw case numbers at all*. For a sense of "how COVID is going", look at the positive test rate as your leading indicator, and hospitalizations/deaths as your somewhat lagging (but ultimately what matters) indicator. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2021