Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 31, 2021

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Thu Aug 12 21:32:06 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dwallacewells @JamesSurowiecki I agree not a lot of asymptomatic people of any kind are probably being tested. But that can also skew the data. e.g. in the Provincetown study a very high percentage of breakthroughs were symptomatic, which means they may not have been typical of breakthrough infections. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dwallacewells @JamesSurowiecki Yeah I'm with James here. Testing and vaccination are quite similar in in that both require a mildly inconvenient encounter with the health care system. Sometimes they're literally done in the same location. Both are something you might skip if you don't take COVID seriously. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dwallacewells @JamesSurowiecki Overall it wouldn't surprise me if vaccines were 75-80% effective against symptomatic COVID under Delta but say 50-60% against any COVID infection, which would explain a lot of the discrepancies we're seeing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2021