Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Tue Aug 10 05:25:47 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@normative IDK but I wonder if topology is not more the exception than the rule. In the fields where I have genuine expertise (e.g. election forecasting) I'd tend to think less of an expert who made a statement like that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lately I've seen people ask why the US numbers don't look more like the UK, which had a surge in cases recently but comparatively few deaths. But US states that have vaccination rates ~similar to the UK actually have fewer deaths than the UK, though the numbers lag & may rise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias There are credible arguments that liberals overestimate the effectiveness of lockdowns and underestimate their costs (importantly, primarily non-economic costs: mental health, learning loss, social ties, etc.) that don't have much to do with the risks of COVID being exaggerated. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021