Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Mon Aug 09 23:16:33 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lately I've seen people ask why the US numbers don't look more like the UK, which had a surge in cases recently but comparatively few deaths. But US states that have vaccination rates ~similar to the UK actually have fewer deaths than the UK, though the numbers lag & may rise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Seeing a bigger gap in deaths than cases is exactly what you'd expect given how the vaccines work under Delta (pretty good against cases but VERY good against severe outcomes) but still interesting to see it in the data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@normative IDK but I wonder if topology is not more the exception than the rule. In the fields where I have genuine expertise (e.g. election forecasting) I'd tend to think less of an expert who made a statement like that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 10, 2021