Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 16, 2021

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Thu Aug 05 11:33:48 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So that's what happens when you vaccinate a very large percentage of your elderly population, as the UK has. We won't do quite as well in the US, although with 90% age 65+ partly vaccinated and 80% fully vaccinated, that will still help a lot. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Since not all cases are detected, the case fatality rate is an overestimate of the *infection* fatality rate. Data from the ONS implies perhaps 1 in every 2.5 or 3 infections are being detected in the UK, which means the IFR is in the vicinity of 0.1%. https://t.co/5bjFFikltS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 5, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's 70% very understandable trauma from prior waves and 30% crappy media coverage. The real-world data showing much lower fatality rates in the UK (and to a slightly lesser extent the US/EU) b/c of vaccines is extremely good and important news but hasn't gotten much attention. — PolitiTweet.org

I don't know how anyone can look at the UK cases and deaths and think that (banning a variant not here yet) there i… https://t.co/wg3ysdNEtm

Posted Aug. 5, 2021