Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Fri Jul 30 17:48:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here, finally, is the Provincetown study, which includes several major caveats, most of which are almost completely missing from the hyperbolic news coverage around this. https://t.co/2psyPdVob6 https://t.co/VngcGG8HrP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course it doesn't help when The New York Times takes some new (not yet public or peer-reviewed FWIW) study that says what I wrote above and frames it as some "harrowing new twist that upends everything we know about the coronavirus" or whatever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There is also one major caveat that the study authors don't mention: they are only looking at *people who chose to be tested*, which is a lot different than *all breakthrough infections*. Presumably people with symptoms are much more likely to be tested. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021