Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Fri Jul 30 17:18:44 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JamesSurowiecki Even that wouldn't necessarily be that informative because most people only come in for testing if they're symptomatic, and symptomatic breakthrough infections having high viral loads doesn't necessarily equate to all breakthrough infections having them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Vaccinated people are much less likely to become infected with COVID. *Conditional upon becoming infected*, there is some evidence to suggest they carry similar viral loads, but this evidence is quite uncertain, and viral loads do not necessarily equate 1:1 to transmission. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Of course it doesn't help when The New York Times takes some new (not yet public or peer-reviewed FWIW) study that says what I wrote above and frames it as some "harrowing new twist that upends everything we know about the coronavirus" or whatever. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2021