Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 8, 2021

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Thu Jul 22 20:05:10 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@seeglazek @JamesSurowiecki Why is it not consistent? 45% of the UK population is not fully vaxed (and those unvaccinated people clustered in certain age ranges and geographic areas and so can spread to one another) and Delta has an incredibly high R0 among the unvaccinated. And yeah AZ < mRNA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@seeglazek @JamesSurowiecki What happened in Provincetown isn't that relevant because infections are clustered so it's ~n=1. Nearly every beach town in a temperate climate had lots of visitors on July 4. What happened on Fire Island? On Martha's Vineyard? In Bar Harbor, ME? On Long Beach Island, NJ? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@seeglazek @JamesSurowiecki There are a lot of complications and confounders, some of which are counterintuitive including e.g. that not all people are equally likely to be tested. And there are rigorous studies designed to deal with those. I don't think this is a case where eyeballing the data adds value. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 22, 2021