Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 3, 2021

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Sat Jul 03 17:09:10 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD Fear of Trump is >= in Democratic circles than fear of bad optics. The most likely outcome is not that she gets the nomination without a serious challenge but that she does get challenged and it gets quite ugly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred @allahpundit What does "needed" mean? Is it not likely to do substantially more good than harm? My critique here is that people are thinking in inflexible categories rather than in a Bayesian/probabilistic way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@allahpundit They'll think they have to nominate her but even if the party stops some of the more obvious challengers from running, some random rich dude like Ned Lamont would run and if that rich dude wins the New Hampshire primary all bets are off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2021