Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 3, 2021

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Fri Jul 02 23:10:09 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred @allahpundit What does "needed" mean? Is it not likely to do substantially more good than harm? My critique here is that people are thinking in inflexible categories rather than in a Bayesian/probabilistic way. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred @allahpundit All perfectly reasonable. But we have a lot of real world data now that a 2nd dose is very likely to be helpful against variants. If you had an elderly relative who had gotten one dose of J&J and they had an opportunity to get an mRNA booster, would you tell them to turn it down? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 2, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende @sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD Fear of Trump is >= in Democratic circles than fear of bad optics. The most likely outcome is not that she gets the nomination without a serious challenge but that she does get challenged and it gets quite ugly. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 3, 2021