Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked July 25, 2021

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Sat Jun 12 16:57:01 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Part of the issue for Republicans is that they don't have a lot of examples of recent electoral successes apart from Trump. But Trump wasn't really that successful; one-termer who barely beat a flawed opponent (HRC), plus lost Congress despite GOP structural advantages. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Yeah our mRNA mix and possibly higher seroprevalence might help a bit. OTOH people (most importantly, unvaccinated people) have mostly seemed to abandon any pretense of COVID precautions over here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 11, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trumpism may lock the GOP into a low-floor, high-ceiling approach. Given their structural advantages (e.g. overrepresentation of rural voters in the Senate), they'll win elections *just often enough* with it. But it is not *broadly* popular and will rarely win big majorities. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2021