Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 30, 2021

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Fri May 28 17:50:17 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

3) Even if swing voters don't care, Democratic base voters are likely to be very motivated by the claim that Democrats must keep control of Congress to prevent the presidency from being stolen in 2024. This may reduce the typical "enthusiasm gap" in midterm voting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2) Swing voters tend to elect the out-party in midterms to create a balance of power. If they're convinced that the GOP will not wield its power responsibly or will even use control of Congress to permanently seize power, that calculation changes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@FridaGhitis I'd say they won't necessarily lose seats, sure. Way too early to put a percentage on it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021