Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked June 29, 2021

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Fri May 28 17:41:51 +0000 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I still think there's a little bit of tension between the notion —which I largely agree with—that the current GOP represents an unprecedented (at least in modern American history) threat to democracy and the CW that Democrats will surely suffer the usual midterm penalty in '22. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @AstorAaron: @NateSilver538 We really need an update to the Electoral Count Act of 1887 to make it much harder for a House majority to o… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 28, 2021 Retweet

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There are a few mechanisms here: 1) Parties usually course-correct after defeats and the GOP is doing the very opposite. It's not clear how well empirical precedents about mean-reversion during the midterms holds up under these conditions. — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 explain?

Posted May 28, 2021